石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯6月28日消息，高盛分析师们已经将三个月的油价预测从55美元/桶大幅下调至47.5美元/桶。分析师们预计油价将在45美元/桶附近交易，直到美国石油钻机数量下降、石油库存持续下降或欧佩克同意增加减产额度为止。然而，高盛分析师仍然维持在石油市场结构性熊市下出现周期性牛市的观点，因为全球库存正在下降，欧佩克仍可能加大减产力度，需求仍然处于高位，而且美国生产商可能受到成本上升的抑制。 唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下： DJ Goldman Analysts Cut Oil Forecast Analysts at Goldman Sachs are cutting their three month oil price forecast to $47.50 a barrel, from $55. The analysts expect prices to trade near $45 a barrel until U.S. rig counts fall, there are sustained draws from stockpiles or OPEC agrees to additional production cuts. Still, the analysts say they remain “cyclically bullish within a structurally bearish framework,” noting that global inventories are drawing, OPEC can still make deeper cuts, demand is high, and it’s still possible U.S. producers will be deterred by rising costs.
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