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IEA:预计全球市场下半年将加速再平衡

中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯5月16日伦敦报道,国际能源署(IEA)16日在其月度石油市场报告中说,IEA预计全球石油市场的再平衡在短期内将加速。由于经合组织商业库存3月份连续第二个月下降,全球石油市场在第一季度已“几乎平衡”。 但是,IEA也警告说,由于美国的页岩行业的多样性和活力继续给人们带来惊喜,要进一步消耗库存在今年下半年将“有许多工作要做”。 然而,由于尼日利亚和沙特阿拉伯石油产量的增加抵消了利比亚和伊朗的产量下降,欧佩克4月份遵守其减产协议“有一点放松”。欧佩可4月份石油日产量增加了6.5万桶,达到了3178万桶。 IEA说,欧佩克今年迄今为止遵守减产协议的比例依然强劲处在96%,但是,IEA强调“需要密切关注利比亚和尼日利亚,这两个国家有迹象表明他们的石油产量可能会持续上升。” 欧佩克和非欧佩克产油国将在5月25日开会来审查其产量协议,有迹象表明减产协议很有可能被延长。 李峻 编译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下: IEA expects speedier oil market rebalancing in H2 but ‘much work remains’ The International Energy Agency expects the global oil market’s rebalancing to accelerate in the short term, having “almost balanced” in the first quarter as OECD commercial stocks fell for a second consecutive month in March, it said Tuesday in its monthly Oil Market Report.
But the agency also cautioned that “much work remains to be done” in the second half of 2017 to drain inventories further as the diversity and dynamism of the US shale sector continues to surprise.
OPEC compliance with its output restraint agreement “loosened a touch” in April however, with production rising by 65,000 b/d in April to 31.78 million b/d as increased flows from Nigeria and Saudi Arabia offset lower production from Libya and Iran.
The IEA said OPEC’s year-to-date compliance with the production cuts remained robust at 96% but stressed the “need to keep a close eye on Libya and Nigeria where there are signs that production might be rising sustainably.”
OPEC and non-OPEC participants will meet on May 25 to review its production agreements, and signs suggest the deal is likely to be extended.

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